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Is Autism Really on the Rise? New Study Suggests No.
We’ve all heard that the incidence of autism is rising, with the CDC estimating that 1 in 110 kids now have the disorder.
But a study from UK researchers in the Archives of General Psychiatry today suggests that there may be no such thing as an “autism epidemic.” The team collected data on over 6,000 UK households and found reason to doubt that the incidence of autism has moved at all.
Here’s why their findings suggest the rate of autism is not going up:
In the population interviewed (roughly 6,500 UK families), nearly one percent of people over the age of 16 met criteria for an autism spectrum disorder — roughly equal to the childhood incidence. If people over 16 are just as likely to have autism as are younger kids, it means that there hasn’t been a true rise in the percentage of people with the disorder in the last decade.
Not surprisingly, though, many of the older people on the spectrum were unaware that they had autism. That’s consistent with the theory that the true incidence of autism isn’t going up at all — only the awareness and diagnosis of the disorder.
What do you think – is the rate of autism truly rising or are we just better at recognizing it?
Image: flickr
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8 Comments
Katy E commented on May 03 11 at 8:26 pmI absolutely agree. It’s getting diagnosed more because of increased awareness, not increased incident.
M Smo commented on May 03 11 at 11:40 pmAnother article that parrots the silly, theory-backs-into-the-conclusion that was preconceived. It sounds as dumb, frankly, as the South Park episode parodying Scientology. After his free “personality screening” Stan reports to his parents what the screening revealed. “we didn’t know you were depressed, Stan.” “Neither did I,” he replies. Only your article is not tongue in cheek.
What’s really happening is that the dollar signs are getting bigger in the eyes of “therapists”; their supervisors;their coordinators; the regional centers; and a new generation of “DAN” doctors and hyperbaric chamber suppliers, etc. “Autism” is no longer just a cottage industry – it’s big business, like pharmaceuticals or smart phones and tablet computers. Ironically, these latter two big businesses have also found a way to capitalize in this phenomenon of “better recognition”. How clever of them.
Angela commented on May 04 11 at 10:22 amI also have to question whether if someone can make it to adulthood without realizing they’re on the autism spectrum if the criteria may be a bit too narrow. On the one hand I think it’s great if schools are able to meet children’s needs on a more individual basis and help them reach their full potential. Still I think the medical community is way to eager these days to hand out labels and diagnoses to any kid who has a problem which I don’t agree with.
Joan commented on May 04 11 at 11:52 amI have to agree with Angela. It’s wonderful that we’re helping kids be the best they can be, but it seems anyone who’s a little bit different these days is getting a diagnosis of mild autism. So the kids who might be a bit shy, or socially awkward, or have a bit more anxiety than most kids now get a label of mild autism put on them when they’re three, and that sticks with them for life. Of course I know that there are MANY kids who are severely autistic and can’t function at all in “normal” life, as well as others others whose everyday functioning is somewhat impaired and could really use the therapy in order to live a better life…I’m not talking about those kids at all, and I think it’s crucial that they get all the help they need. But it seems teachers and daycare workers are so hyperaware of autism these days, and so quick to raise the red flag on anyone who might show a few symptoms but are otherwise very normal kids. (The new ADHD?) It seems to me that we’re trying to raise a generation of outgoing marketing executives, and introverted personalities just don’t fit in with that plan.
heatherturgeon commented on May 04 11 at 4:43 pm@Joan I really agree with your comment that we pathologize introversion way too much. @M SMO, I’m not sure I follow — are you saying you think doctors over diagnose to feed the autism treatment industry? In other words, you agree that the increase incidence of autism spectrum disorders is in the recognition (or as you say, the over-recognition) of the disorder and that there is no real epidemic?
LogicalMama commented on May 05 11 at 5:31 pmI agree with most comments here. I do believe there is increased awareness. I also believe we have a larger population which will look like it’s on the rise, but the % of the population with it remains the same.
It’s the same with learning disabilities. Someone above commented about teachers and daycare workers are flagging it more often and I agree with that. I also think that just because they have extensive experience working with kids, doesn’t make them qualified to diagnose these conditions and can be incorrect more often than accurate in their assessments!
I also think that there are too many instances where a parent will heed what a teacher has said (and may be at their own wits end with a child that is different from expectations but in the normal range still!) and then go to the primary care pediatrician with this information and that doctor may attempt to medicate to placate everyone instead of putting in the referral for a true neuro-psych evaluation! Unless you are educated (and continue your education b/c it’s ever-changing!) in learning disabilities and/or special education, you have no business making these assertions. It happens too often. In general, we’ve become so hurried and preoccupied and any behavior that SEEMS out of the normal range (too introverted, too extroverted, high energy, extremely unfocused, overly sensitive) is quickly given a name and managed with medicine. Absolutely, each of the attributes listed above can be a sign of an issue, but they can also just be a part of a personality. I got slightly off topic here, mostly focusing on ADD/ADHD-type disabilities but I think it’s similar to the autism spectrum issue raised in the story.
Vess Pah commented on Sep 07 11 at 2:49 pmIn all probability it is not on the rise. What is on the rise is the medicalization of every form and variety of human behavior. Autism spectrum? What BS. The fact that someone is anti-social, has poor social skills, is a loner, is awkward, does not mean that they have autism, which used to be a well defined, and quite horrific, neurological condition. But now, because we have to label everything, anyone who isn’t in the center of the socialization bell curve is said to be on the autism spectrum.
What horseshit.
Let’s stop labeling people and instead start tolerating those who are a bit odd or different.
Heidi commented on Jan 18 12 at 11:36 amAs an early childhood educator and a parent of three special needs children, I do see more “special” children. Not because there are more, but because we know better what to look for, and how to help. I am not the one to make a diagnosis, but I can help spot potential for things and steer families toward help. I know plenty of people of all ages who could use help with things. I was not diagnosed with ADHD till two years ago. But I see where it has effected my life and choices. I did go into a field where I did not have to sit at a desk all day, and where my activities change every 20 mins. If I had received help as a young child, what could I be doing today? The better we understand, the better we diagnose, the better we can help. We don’t need any more children growing up to be hermits on a mountain side living away from society.
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